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Basically, the system buys, shorts and sells on breakouts above a 20 day or a 55 day moving average. A simple, uncomplicated heuristic. Because all of that is bullshit.
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It takes into account the only thing that we can know for sure, the price. Everything else is impossible to take action on. The system also makes thirty to fifty percent of its money from shorting, unlike perma-bull systems that only bet long and get destroyed in bear markets. So now you have it but this is where the hard part starts.
Your first step is to figure out why. You can start by asking yourself a series of questions. Use the Socratic method. For example, does Trading View have the right settings to test it effectively?
Their default settings are terrible and backtest horribly. The Turtle system can easily generate more than that on shorter timelines. How much equity should you allocate to the trade for it to test well? That means eventually if you really want to use this you may need to write your own code or hire someone to do it on a different platform. Share and find that the world is willing to share with you. Contribute value to get value. The biggest ones are emotional. This system is hard to follow.
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You will eat some gut wrenching drawn downs and face some horrifying swings. You will face your own inner turmoil again and again and again. And you will make mistakes. This is not slow and steady returns. This is big booming returns with lots of little losses in between that are painful to endure. When the markets get totally crazy trend following roars.
When the markets go flat so does the system. In other words Crypto Turtle produces a bunch of false positives. Michael Covel, author of the Complete Turtle Trader, describes it in terms of batting averages. Trend following is a Babe Ruth, knock it out of the park home run system. But to hit home runs you have to strike out. Babe Ruth was the home run king but he also holds the record for whiffing.
It will take you a month of trial and error to tweak it and figure out how to make it awesome. Then it will hit you with a nasty drop on the first trade. And that home run would have made up for all your losses and then some. A typical trend following explosion upwards after a month and a half of false breakouts. Even worse the powers that be looked to engineer risk out of the traditional markets at all costs. But risk is where the money is and unfortunately they managed to engineer the profits out with the risk.
Few people can get rich in the regular stock markets these days. Circuit breakers, ridiculously high levels of regulation and a thousand other tweaks killed the good old days of gun slinging commodities traders. They want everyone to get a trophy.
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For a long time, it seemed there was no hope of ever returning to the glory days of big risk, big return. And then came Bitcoin. Like the young founder of the incredible Bitmex exchange said: Take a look at this performance chart of classical market trend followers.
Look back over their history. What do you see?
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In fact, back in the day, the largely unregulated commodities markets were looked at just like regulators look at crypto today. Like quit your job, fuck you money rich. It makes the old commodities markets look like a kiddie ride by comparison.
And that makes trend following systems and crypto a marriage made in heaven. Now you have the master key to unlock those kind of profits if you manage to survive the roller coaster. There are more effective ways to paint a face or write a book. But the only way to learn them is through trial and error over many years.
The question implies that someone gave it to me or that my packed schedule somehow magically shifted to let me write for hours a day. Nobody gave me shit.
The last three video games I bought are still in the shrink wrap. For ten years nobody gave a shit what I had to say. Now, Hai Nguyen is dating with a beautiful Chinese woman, and they will get marriage next month.
Chinese Dating Secrets Exposed is exactly what the author has tested hundreds of times and it will be never failed anyonebecause it is proven useful by the author himself and a lot of his customers.
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